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Carlo Ancelotti’s Gamble on Casemiro Saved Brazil From an Early World Cup Exit

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Carlo Ancelotti’s Gamble on Casemiro Saved Brazil From an Early World Cup Exit

Brazil was 45 minutes away from disaster. Down a goal to Japan at halftime in Houston, their first foreign coach was facing serious questions. Casemiro, the veteran midfielder, looked every bit of his age and then some. A yellow card, a blown assignment that led directly to Japan’s goal, sloppy giveaways, and even running into his own teammates. It was the kind of half that gets a guy benched. Or worse, shipped off to Saudi Arabia.

But Carlo Ancelotti kept him in the game. And that decision, more than any tactical tweak, is why Brazil is still alive in this World Cup.

Casemiro was a mess in that first half. Kaishu Sano walked right past him for Japan’s opener after Casemiro chose to step up instead of dropping into space. He was already on a yellow, which made everything more dangerous. For a guy who just played his last game for Manchester United, it looked like his national team career might be ending on a similarly sour note. Jamie Carragher’s old advice about leaving before the game leaves you felt less like a hot take and more like prophecy.

Ancelotti saw something else. Or maybe he saw no other option.

Lucas Paqueta picked up an injury right before the break and couldn’t come back out. That forced a change anyway, with Endrick entering the game. But instead of pulling Casemiro, Ancelotti dropped Bruno Guimaraes deeper alongside him. The midfield shifted from a 2-1 to something more like a double pivot, and suddenly Brazil had a platform.

Japan kept numbers behind the ball in the second half, sometimes parking five or six guys on their own goal line. They held firm for a long time. Casemiro missed a header he should have scored. Vinicius Jr danced through traffic only to see Zion Suzuki make a ridiculous save. The game ticked toward stoppage time with Brazil pushing and Japan holding on by force of will.

Then Ao Tanaka turned the ball over on the edge of his own box. Guimaraes stepped into the space, took a beat when most guys would have blasted it, and slid the ball to Gabriel Martinelli. Martinelli’s shot hit the post and rolled in. Suzuki got a hand to it, but the angle was wrong and the touch sent it over the line instead of away.

Ancelotti stayed calm through all of it. The man looked like he was waiting for coffee, not watching his tournament life hang on a post. He’s been here before, obviously. But this was different. Brazil looked lost in the first half. Disorganized, naive, like they expected individual skill to overpower a disciplined Japanese side that had already beaten them this year. Ancelotti fixed that at halftime by trusting a midfielder who looked cooked to find another gear.

Casemiro found it. Not by much, but enough. And now Brazil moves on to the round of 16 in New Jersey against Norway or Ivory Coast. Without that halftime decision, without Ancelotti’s nerve, the plane home would already be fueled.

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