The last time Hunter Greene pitched in a game that counted, it was 2025. He had a 2.76 ERA and was striking out dudes at an elite rate. Then his elbow needed surgery, and the Cincinnati Reds have spent the whole first half trying to patch together a rotation without him. That ends Saturday.
Manager Terry Francona told reporters that Greene will start this weekend against the Baltimore Orioles. It’s the kind of news a team sitting 12.5 games back in the division doesn’t get to celebrate often. Greene made his final rehab start on Tuesday, threw 82 pitches, and that was enough for Cincinnati to pull the trigger.
Why the extra caution matters
Elbow injuries are basically every pitcher’s nightmare. The Reds know that better than most. Greene had surgery back in March, and they’ve been careful not to rush him. One thing they’re not going to do is let him air it out for 110 pitches right away. Expect a pitch count, maybe in the 75 to 85 range. If he gets through that clean, they’ll build from there.
His rehab outings went fine. No setbacks. No weird soreness. That’s the part that had everyone holding their breath.
What Greene brings back
Before the injury, Greene was turning into the guy the Reds thought they drafted second overall. In 2024 he made his first All-Star Game. He posted a 2.75 ERA that year with 169 strikeouts and 57 walks. Then in 2025 he was even sharper in some ways: 132 strikeouts against just 26 walks in 19 starts. His career numbers over 91 starts are a 3.65 ERA with a 617-to-179 strikeout-to-walk ratio. That’s frontline stuff.
And Cincinnati’s rotation is currently 24th in baseball with a 4.59 ERA. So yeah, they need him. Badly.
Greene won’t fix everything by himself. The Reds are 39-44. They’re not dead yet but they’re not exactly alive either. What he does give them is a legitimate ace to anchor the rotation for the second half. That matters for 2026 too. It matters for the future.
But for one Saturday in July, all that big picture stuff can wait. Reds fans will be watching every pitch he throws. And so will the front office.

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