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How the Dodgers Landed a First-Round Talent With the 40th Pick and Almost No Money Left

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How the Dodgers Landed a First-Round Talent With the 40th Pick and Almost No Money Left

The Los Angeles Dodgers walked into the 2026 MLB Draft with the smallest bonus pool in baseball, only 16 total picks, and no second, third, fifth or sixth-round selections. Competitive Balance Tax penalties had already pushed their first pick back to No. 40. That is not exactly the setup you’d expect for a team about to steal the best value in the entire draft class.

But that is exactly what happened.

Bo Lowrance, a high school infielder from Christ Church Episcopal in Greenville, South Carolina, was still on the board when the Dodgers went on the clock. MLB Pipeline had him ranked No. 21 overall. Most major outlets gave him a first-round grade. He could play shortstop or third base and he swings left-handed with a 6-foot-5 frame that evaluators love projecting power onto. So why was he still there at 40?

Two reasons, really. First, some teams had concerns about his swing path. It can get long and he hasn’t yet shown consistent lift and pull against elite prep pitching. Second, he had a strong commitment to Virginia, which scared away teams worried about signability. The draft overall prioritized college arms, and a couple of teams ahead of the Dodgers just went in different directions. The Dodgers saw Lowrance not as a risk but as a fixable development project with a ceiling that matched first-round talent.

(And honestly, when you have as little draft capital as the Dodgers had that year, you can’t afford to pass on a guy whose main questions are mechanic-based.)

The tools are real

Lowrance posted exit velocities in the upper 90s at the Combine and touched triple digits. That is plus bat speed and raw power that could turn into 25-plus homers once he adds strength and lift. His hit tool grades above average for a high school guy. Smooth mechanics, good swing decisions, handles premium velocity. The arm is above average too. Quick feet at shortstop, though he might end up at third or first as he fills out. Speed is average now and will probably drop, but for an infielder it’s functional.

Evaluators also consistently flagged his makeup and drive as real strengths. That matters because the Dodgers have a track record of taking projectable left-handed hitters and optimizing their swings with data, improving lift and pull rates and sharpening pitch recognition. The system is built for exactly this kind of player.

The math made it even sweeter

The 40th pick came with a recommended bonus around $2.5 million. That’s more than 60% of the Dodgers’ entire bonus pool. But they landed a first-round talent at that price because of the slide. No other pick in their 16-selection haul came close to matching Lowrance’s pre-draft pedigree or the gap between where he was expected to go and where he actually wound up. The rest of their picks added college arms and lower-ranked position players. Depth stuff. None of them had his ceiling.

This is how the Dodgers keep winning even when draft constraints should hurt them. They find guys who slid for reasons that don’t actually limit their upside, match them with the right development system, and bet on their own infrastructure. Lowrance has first-round tools, mechanical questions that coaching can address, and a frame built for the power gains the Dodgers know how to unlock. Under the circumstances, with the smallest pool and the least flexibility, they made the most impactful pick in the whole class.

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